A poll of 10 exit polls predicts 52 seats for the AAP, and 17 for the BJP. The Congress is likely to get only 1 seat.
If the exit poll predictions come true on February 11, when the votes are counted, it will be a big win for the AAP, which faced a very spirited and aggressive challenge from the BJP.
The Times Now-Ipsos exit poll, which came out first with the numbers, predicted 47 seats for the AAP and 23 seats for the BJP.
The India Today – Axis My India has predicted 59 to 68 seats for the AAP and 2-11 seats for the BJP.
Exit poll by Sudarshan News has predicted 24-28 seats for the BJP, which is the highest projection for the party by any agency. The AAP is likely to win 41 to 45 seats, Sudarshan News predicts.
The ABP News-C oter exit poll predicts 49-63 seats for the AAP and 5-19 seats for the BJP.
The Republic TV – Jan Ki Baat exit poll has predicted 48-61 seats for the AAP and 9-21 for the BJP.
The India News Nation has predicted 55 seats for the AAP and 14 for the BJP.
NewsX – Polstrat has predicted 56 seats for the AAP and 14 for the BJP.
India TV has predicted 44 seats for Arvind Kejriwal’s AAP and 26 for the BJP.
In the 2015 assembly elections, Kejriwal’s AAP got a record mandate winning 67 out of 70 seats. The BJP had won 3 seats while the Congress had failed to open its account.
The AAP had polled over 54.3% votes in 2015 while the BJP got 32.2% and the Congress 9.7%. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP got a whopping 56.9 per cent of the votes and the Congress got 22.6 per cent. The AAP with 18.2 per cent was at the third position.
The AAP wooed the electorate with its development agenda and its promises to provide an honest government that would take care of the poor.
Both parties ran a high-pitched campaign with several public meetings and roadshows daily. Chief minister Arvind Kejriwal shouldered the responsibility of AAP’s campaign with Rajya Sabha MP Sanjay Singh and Punjab MP Bhagwant Mann pitching in. Kejriwal held over a dozen townhalls, taking his government’s report card to the public.
The BJP, which has not won in Delhi after 1993, showed its resolve to form a government this time with a high-decibel campaign which highlighted what it sees as a threat to national security.
BJP invoked major decisions taken by its government — amending the citizenship law, abrogation of Articles 370 and 35A, and surgical strikes on Pakistan — to seek votes, besides highlighting what it claims to be AAP’s failure to ensure supply of clean water, installation of CCTV cameras and giving free Wi-Fi in Delhi.
The saffron party’s campaign in Delhi — which involved close to 200 MPs, 11 chief ministers and over 50 central ministers — was personally managed by Union home minister Amit Shah.
The Congress, meanwhile, tried hard to stay relevant in Delhi politics. Wiped out in the 2015 elections when it polled less than 10% votes and didn’t win a single seat, the grand old party has been desperately trying to regain its traditional vote bank of slums, resettlement colonies, Dalits and minorities.
Though its campaign lacked the incisiveness of the two rival parties, the last week of electioneering witnessed top Congress functionaries — Rahul Gandhi, Priyanka Gandhi Vadra, Manmohan Singh and chief ministers of four states, among others — making an appeal to bring back the party that governed Delhi for 15 years and built “world class” infrastructure. The party openly extended its support to anti-CAA protesters at Shaheen Bagh and Jamia Millia Islamia with an eye on Muslim voters.
Apart from free electricity and water to the poor, pucca houses to slum-dwellers, more amenities and ownership rights to residents of unauthorised colonies, clean tap water in every household, safety to women, jobs or allowance to unemployed, cleaner Yamuna, more buses and new schools and colleges are among major promises made by all three parties.
All three parties singled out the Poorvanchalis, who form almost a fourth of the total vote share, for special attention. All of them have given tickets to several candidates from the region. They have also been talking about regularisation of 1731 unauthorised colonies and giving ownership rights of properties to their residents to influence the 25 lakh voters living there.
In Video:AAP set to retain Delhi, third term for Kejriwal, predict exit polls unanimously